Takulandirani nthawi yoyenera

Mu 1998, Kodak anali ndi antchito a 170,000 ndipo anagulitsa 85% ya zithunzi zonse zapapepala padziko lonse.
Zaka zochepa chabe, chitsanzo chake cha bizinesi chinatha, ndikupita naye ku bankruptcy.
Chimene chinachitika kwa Kodak chidzachitike kwa mafakitale ambiri m'zaka zapachilumba za 10 - ndipo anthu ambiri sazindikira.

Kodi mumaganiza mu 1998 kuti zaka za 3 sizidzatha kujambula pamapepala kachiwiri?

Komabe, makamera a digito anapangidwa mu 1975. Mofanana ndi mateloseti onse owonetsa, iwo anali okhumudwa kwa nthawi yaitali iwo asanakhale opambana kwambiri ndipo anali chikhalidwe chachikulu muzaka zingapo.
Tsopano izi zidzachitika ndi Artificial Intelligence, magetsi, magalimoto odziimira okhaokha, maphunziro, 3D kusindikiza, ulimi ndi ntchito.

Takulandirani ku Zasinthidwe Zinayi Zamakono!

Mapulogalamuwa adzasintha mafakitale ambiri m'zaka zotsatira za 5-10.
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Uber ndi chida chabe cha pulogalamu, alibe galimoto iliyonse, ndipo tsopano ndi kampani yaikulu kwambiri padziko lonse. Airbnb tsopano ndi kampani yaikulu kwambiri ku hotelo padziko lapansi ngakhale kuti alibe malo alionse.
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Artificial Intelligence: Ma makompyuta adzakhala bwino kwambiri pomvetsa dziko lapansi. Chaka chino, makompyuta amenya bwino Go Go Player padziko lonse lapansi (masewera achi China ovuta kuposa chess), zaka za 10 kale kuposa zomwe zikuyembekezedwera.
Ku USA malamulo amilandu sakupezekanso ntchito chifukwa ali ndi IBM Watson, mukhoza kupeza uphungu wotsatira malamulo (mwachidule) mumphindi, mwachidule cha 90% poyerekeza ndi kulondola kwa 70% ya anthu. Choncho ngati mumaphunzira malamulo, imani nthawi yomweyo. Padzakhala alangizi ochepa a 90% m'tsogolomu
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Watson Health athandiza kale anamwino kudziwitsa khansa, ndi nthawi 4 molondola kwambiri kuposa anamwino aumunthu. Facebook tsopano ili ndi mapulogalamu odziwika omwe angathe kuzindikira nkhope kuposa anthu. Mu 2030, makompyuta adzakhala ochenjera kuposa anthu.
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Magalimoto odzikweza: magalimoto oyambirira odziimira adzawoneka mu 2018. Padziko lonse la 2020, malonda onse adzayamba kukhala ndi mavuto. Simukufuna kukhala ndi galimoto kachiwiri. Mudzaitanitsa galimoto ndi foni yanu, idzawoneka komwe muli ndipo idzakutengerani kupita komwe mukupita. Simudzasowa kuyisaka, mudzayenera kulipira kwa mtunda woyenda ndipo mudzatha kugwira ntchito mukuyenda. Ana athu safuna chilolezo cha galimoto ndipo sadzakhala ndi galimoto. Mizinda idzasintha chifukwa tidzasowa magalimoto a 90% -95%. Tikhoza kusandutsa mabwalimoto kumapaki. 1.2 anthu mamiliyoni ambiri padziko lonse amamwalira chaka chilichonse chifukwa cha ngozi za galimoto. Tsopano tiri ndi ngozi m'kilomita iliyonse ya 100,000; ndi magalimoto odzilamulira omwe angasinthe ku ngozi mu makilomita a 10 makilomita. Izi zidzapulumutsa miyoyo milioni iliyonse
chaka
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Makampani ambiri ogwiritsa ntchito magalimoto amatha kusokonezeka. Makampani oyendetsa galimoto amagwiritsa ntchito njira zowonongeka ndikupanga galimoto yabwino pamene makampani opanga zamakono (Tesla, Goole, Apple) akuyang'ana njira zawo ndikupanga makompyuta ali ndi mawilo. Ndinayankhula ndi akatswiri a VW ndi Audi ndipo amanjenjemera kwambiri ndi Tesla.
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Makampani a inshuwalansi adzakhala ndi mavuto aakulu chifukwa popanda ngozi, inshuwaransi idzakhala nthawi 100 yotsika mtengo. Galimoto yanu ya inshuwalansi ya galimoto idzatha.

Bizinesi yamalonda idzasintha. Chifukwa ngati mungathe kugwira ntchito pamene mukuyenda, anthu adzasunthira kutali ndi mizinda kuti akakhalemo. '
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Simudzasowa magalasi ambiri ngati anthu ali ndi magalimoto ochepa, kotero kukhala mumzinda kungakhale kokongola chifukwa anthu amakonda kukhala ndi anthu ena. Izo sizidzasintha.
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Galimoto yamagetsi idzakhala yachilendo ku 2020. Mizinda idzakhala yopanda phokoso chifukwa magalimoto onse adzakhala magetsi. Magetsi adzakhala oyera kwambiri komanso otchipa: kupanga mphamvu ya dzuwa kwakhala kovuta kwambiri kwa zaka 30, koma tsopano mukuwona zotsatira zake. Chaka chatha, mphamvu zowonjezera zowonjezera dzuwa zinayikidwa kuposa mphamvu zamakono. Mtengo wa mphamvu ya dzuwa idzagwera kwambiri kotero kuti makampani onse a malasha adzakhala opanda bizinesi kwa 2025.
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Ndi magetsi otsika amadza ndi madzi otsika kupyolera mu desalination. Tangoganizani zomwe zingatheke ngati aliyense angathe kukhala ndi madzi abwino ambiri monga momwe amafunira, pafupifupi popanda mtengo.
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Thanzi: Mtengo wa Tricorder X udzalengezedwa chaka chino. Padzakhala makampani omwe adzamanga chipangizo chachipatala (chotchedwa Star Trek Tricorder) chomwe chimagwirizanitsa ndi foni yanu, yomwe ingathandize kupanga retina yanu, idzatengera zitsanzo za magazi anu ndi mpweya wanu mmenemo. Kenaka 54 idzasanthula zizindikiro zomwe zimayambitsa matenda ena. Zidzakhala zotsika mtengo, kotero m'zaka zina aliyense padziko lapansili adzakhala ndi mwayi wopeza mankhwala a mdziko lapansi, pafupifupi mfulu.
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Kusindikiza kwa 3D: Mtengo wa wosindikiza wotsika mtengo unagwa kuchokera ku US $ 18,000 mpaka US $ 400 m'zaka 10. Nthawi yomweyo, idakhala nthawi 100 mofulumira. Makampani onse a nsapato akuluakulu anayamba kusindikiza nsapato ku 3D. Mbali zina za ndege tsopano zimasindikizidwa ku 3D ku ndege zakutali zakutali. Malo osungirako malo tsopano ali ndi printer yomwe imathetsa kufunikira kwa zigawo zambiri zomwe anali nazo kale
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Kumapeto kwa chaka chino, mafoni atsopanowa adzakhala ndi mwayi wokuwunika mu 3D. Kenaka mukhoza kuponda phazi lanu ku 3D ndikusindikiza nsapato yangwiro m'nyumba mwanu. Ku China, zasindikizidwa kale mu 3D nyumba yomanga ma 6. Kwa 2027, 20% ya chirichonse chopangidwa adzasindikizidwa mu 3D.
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Mwayi wabizinesi: Ngati mukuganiza za msika wa niche womwe mukufuna kutenga nawo mbali, dzifunseni kuti: "Mtsogolo, mukuganiza kuti tidzakhala ndi izi?" Ngati yankho ndi inde, mungachite bwanji mwachangu? Ngati simukulumikizana ndi foni yanu, iwalani za nkhaniyi. Ndipo lingaliro lirilonse lopangidwa kuti lichitike bwino m'zaka za zana la 20 likulephera m'zaka zam'ma 21 zino
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Job: 70% -80% ya ntchito idzatha m'zaka zotsatira za 20. Padzakhala ntchito zambiri zatsopano, koma sizikuwonekeratu ngati padzakhala ntchito zatsopano nthawi yomweyo
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Ezolimo: Kudzakhala loboti ya $ 100 mtsogolomo. Alimi akumayiko achitatu apadziko lapansi akhoza kukhala oyang'anira minda yawo m'malo mongogwira ntchito m'minda yawo. Ma hydroponics adzafunika madzi ochepa. Nyama zoyamba za ng'ombe zopangidwa mumbale za Petri zikupezeka ndipo zitha kukhala zotsika mtengo kuposa zomwe zimapangidwa ndi ng'ombe yomweyo pofika chaka cha 2018. Pakali pano, 30% ya minda yonse yaulimi imagwiritsidwa ntchito ngati ng'ombe. Ingoganizirani ngati malo amenewo sanafunikenso. Pali makampani angapo oyambitsa omwe amapereka mapuloteni atizilombo posachedwa. Amakhala ndi mapuloteni ambiri kuposa nyama. Idzawerengedwa kuti ndi "gwero lamapuloteni ena" chifukwa anthu ambiri amakana lingaliro la kudya tizilombo.
Kusanthula dothi ndi mbewu zidzapangidwa kuchokera ku ma satellites ndi drones ndipo kulamulira tizilombo, zakudya ndi matenda zidzapangidwe mosalekeza kuchokera ku kompyuta.
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Maphunziro: M'badwo umodzi umodzi, masukulu adzachepetsedwa kuti ayese mayeso a Laborator ndi kufufuzira ndi kukhazikitsa milandu ndi luso, kukhala malangizo pa intaneti ndi videoconferencing. Maphunzirowa amachitidwanso kutali ndipo adzazindikira ngati munthuyo "akudziwa" kapena akutsata kapena kuloweza.

Munthu aliyense wopanda maphunziro apadera kapena apadera adzakhala kapolo wamalonda, wopanda ufulu wamba wokhala nzika.

Pali ntchito yotchedwa "Moodies" yomwe ingakuuzeni momwe mukukhalira. Mpaka 2020 pakhala pali mapulogalamu omwe angakuuzeni ngati mukumunamiza maonekedwe anu. Ingoganizirani mkangano wandale womwe umawonetsa kuti ukunena zoona kapena zabodza.
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Nkhumbazi zidzakhala zowonongeka chaka chino ndipo zingakhale zosungiramo ndalamazo.
Ndalama zamapepala zidzatha m'mibadwo ya 2 ndipo malonda onse adzakhala magetsi.

- Pakalipano, moyo wamba umachulukitsa miyezi 3 pachaka. Zaka zinayi zapitazo, moyo wambiri unali zaka 79, tsopano ndi zaka 80. Kuwonjezeka komweku kukukula ndipo kwa 2036 izo zikhoza kukhala chaka chimodzi chowonjezeka chaka. Kotero ife tikhoza kukhala moyo kwa nthawi yaitali, mwinamwake kuposa 100 ...

Chokhacho chomwe chitha kuyimitsa chisinthikochi ndikuwonongedwa kwa mtundu wa anthu ndi opusa ochepa mphamvu komanso opanda maphunziro.

Mfundo zochokera kwa munthu amene anapanga pamsonkhano wa University of the Singularity ku Messe Berlin, Germany mu April wa 2017

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