zaluso

Takulandirani nthawi yoyenera

Mu 1998, Kodak anali ndi antchito a 170,000 ndipo anagulitsa 85% ya zithunzi zonse zapapepala padziko lonse.
Zaka zochepa chabe, chitsanzo chake cha bizinesi chinatha, ndikupita naye ku bankruptcy.
Zomwe zidachitikira Kodak zichitika m'mafakitale ambiri m'zaka 10 zikubwerazi - ndipo anthu ambiri sazindikira.

Kodi mumaganiza mu 1998 kuti zaka za 3 sizidzatha kujambula pamapepala kachiwiri?

Komabe, makamera adijito adapangidwa mu 1975. Monga matekinoloje onse owonetsera, adakhumudwitsa kwa nthawi yayitali asanakhale opambana ndipo anali chizolowezi chachikulu m'zaka zingapo.
Tsopano izi zidzachitika ndi Artificial Intelligence, magetsi, magalimoto odziimira okhaokha, maphunziro, 3D kusindikiza, ulimi ndi ntchito.

Takulandirani ku Zasinthidwe Zinayi Zamakono!

Mapulogalamuwa adzasintha mafakitale ambiri m'zaka zotsatira za 5-10.
-
Uber ndi chida chabe cha pulogalamu, alibe galimoto iliyonse, ndipo tsopano ndi kampani yaikulu kwambiri padziko lonse. Airbnb tsopano ndi kampani yaikulu kwambiri ku hotelo padziko lapansi ngakhale kuti alibe malo alionse.
-
Artificial Intelligence: Ma makompyuta adzakhala bwino kwambiri pomvetsa dziko lapansi. Chaka chino, makompyuta amenya bwino Go Go Player padziko lonse lapansi (masewera achi China ovuta kuposa chess), zaka za 10 kale kuposa zomwe zikuyembekezedwera.
Ku USA malamulo amilandu sakupezekanso ntchito chifukwa ali ndi IBM Watson, mukhoza kupeza uphungu wotsatira malamulo (mwachidule) mumphindi, mwachidule cha 90% poyerekeza ndi kulondola kwa 70% ya anthu. Choncho ngati mumaphunzira malamulo, imani nthawi yomweyo. Padzakhala alangizi ochepa a 90% m'tsogolomu
-
Watson Health athandiza kale anamwino kudziwitsa khansa, ndi nthawi 4 molondola kwambiri kuposa anamwino aumunthu. Facebook tsopano ili ndi mapulogalamu odziwika omwe angathe kuzindikira nkhope kuposa anthu. Mu 2030, makompyuta adzakhala ochenjera kuposa anthu.
-
Magalimoto odzikweza: magalimoto oyambirira odziimira adzawoneka mu 2018. Padziko lonse la 2020, malonda onse adzayamba kukhala ndi mavuto. Simukufuna kukhala ndi galimoto kachiwiri. Mudzaitanitsa galimoto ndi foni yanu, idzawoneka komwe muli ndipo idzakutengerani kupita komwe mukupita. Simudzasowa kuyisaka, mudzayenera kulipira kwa mtunda woyenda ndipo mudzatha kugwira ntchito mukuyenda. Ana athu safuna chilolezo cha galimoto ndipo sadzakhala ndi galimoto. Mizinda idzasintha chifukwa tidzasowa magalimoto a 90% -95%. Tikhoza kusandutsa mabwalimoto kumapaki. 1.2 anthu mamiliyoni ambiri padziko lonse amamwalira chaka chilichonse chifukwa cha ngozi za galimoto. Tsopano tiri ndi ngozi m'kilomita iliyonse ya 100,000; ndi magalimoto odzilamulira omwe angasinthe ku ngozi mu makilomita a 10 makilomita. Izi zidzapulumutsa miyoyo milioni iliyonse
chaka
-
Makampani ambiri ogwiritsa ntchito magalimoto amatha kusokonezeka. Makampani oyendetsa galimoto amagwiritsa ntchito njira zowonongeka ndikupanga galimoto yabwino pamene makampani opanga zamakono (Tesla, Goole, Apple) akuyang'ana njira zawo ndikupanga makompyuta ali ndi mawilo. Ndinayankhula ndi akatswiri a VW ndi Audi ndipo amanjenjemera kwambiri ndi Tesla.
_
Makampani a inshuwalansi adzakhala ndi mavuto aakulu chifukwa popanda ngozi, inshuwaransi idzakhala nthawi 100 yotsika mtengo. Galimoto yanu ya inshuwalansi ya galimoto idzatha.

Bizinesi yogulitsa nyumba isintha. Chifukwa ngati mutha kugwira ntchito mukuyenda, anthu amasamukira kutali ndi mizindayi kuti akakhale '
-
Simudzasowa magalasi ambiri ngati anthu ali ndi magalimoto ochepa, kotero kukhala mumzinda kungakhale kokongola chifukwa anthu amakonda kukhala ndi anthu ena. Izo sizidzasintha.
-.
Galimoto yamagetsi idzakhala yachilendo ku 2020. Mizinda idzakhala yopanda phokoso chifukwa magalimoto onse adzakhala magetsi. Magetsi adzakhala oyera kwambiri komanso otchipa: kupanga mphamvu ya dzuwa kwakhala kovuta kwambiri kwa zaka 30, koma tsopano mukuwona zotsatira zake. Chaka chatha, mphamvu zowonjezera zowonjezera dzuwa zinayikidwa kuposa mphamvu zamakono. Mtengo wa mphamvu ya dzuwa idzagwera kwambiri kotero kuti makampani onse a malasha adzakhala opanda bizinesi kwa 2025.
-
Ndi magetsi otsika amadza ndi madzi otsika kupyolera mu desalination. Tangoganizani zomwe zingatheke ngati aliyense angathe kukhala ndi madzi abwino ambiri monga momwe amafunira, pafupifupi popanda mtengo.
-
Thanzi: Mtengo wa Tricorder X udzalengezedwa chaka chino. Padzakhala makampani omwe adzamanga chipangizo chachipatala (chotchedwa Star Trek Tricorder) chomwe chimagwirizanitsa ndi foni yanu, yomwe ingathandize kupanga retina yanu, idzatengera zitsanzo za magazi anu ndi mpweya wanu mmenemo. Kenaka 54 idzasanthula zizindikiro zomwe zimayambitsa matenda ena. Zidzakhala zotsika mtengo, kotero m'zaka zina aliyense padziko lapansili adzakhala ndi mwayi wopeza mankhwala a mdziko lapansi, pafupifupi mfulu.
-
Kusindikiza kwa 3D: Mtengo wa wosindikiza wotsika mtengo unagwa kuchokera ku US $ 18,000 mpaka US $ 400 m'zaka 10. Nthawi yomweyo, idakhala nthawi 100 mofulumira. Makampani onse a nsapato akuluakulu anayamba kusindikiza nsapato ku 3D. Mbali zina za ndege tsopano zimasindikizidwa ku 3D ku ndege zakutali zakutali. Malo osungirako malo tsopano ali ndi printer yomwe imathetsa kufunikira kwa zigawo zambiri zomwe anali nazo kale
-
Kumapeto kwa chaka chino, mafoni atsopanowa adzakhala ndi mwayi wokuwunika mu 3D. Kenaka mukhoza kuponda phazi lanu ku 3D ndikusindikiza nsapato yangwiro m'nyumba mwanu. Ku China, zasindikizidwa kale mu 3D nyumba yomanga ma 6. Kwa 2027, 20% ya chirichonse chopangidwa adzasindikizidwa mu 3D.
-
Mwayi wamabizinesi: Ngati mukuganiza za msika womwe mukufuna kutenga nawo gawo, dzifunseni: "m'tsogolomu, mukuganiza kuti tidzakhala ndi izi?" Ngati yankho liri inde, mungatani kuti muzichita mofulumira? Ngati sichikulumikizana ndi foni yanu, iwalani lingalirolo. Ndipo lingaliro lirilonse lolinganizidwa kuti lipambane m’zaka za zana la 20 liyenera kulephera m’zaka za zana la 21.
-
Job: 70% -80% ya ntchito idzatha m'zaka zotsatira za 20. Padzakhala ntchito zambiri zatsopano, koma sizikuwonekeratu ngati padzakhala ntchito zatsopano nthawi yomweyo
-
Ulimi: Padzakhala loboti ya $ 100 mtsogolomo. Alimi m'mayiko achitatu adzatha kukhala oyang'anira minda yawo m'malo mogwira ntchito tsiku ndi tsiku m'minda yawo. Hydroponics adzafunika madzi ochepa. Zakudya zoyamba za ng'ombe zomwe zimapangidwa mu mbale za petri zilipo tsopano ndipo zidzakhala zotsika mtengo kusiyana ndi zomwe zimapangidwa ndi ng'ombe zomwezo pofika chaka cha 2018. Pakali pano, 30% ya nthaka yonse yaulimi imagwiritsidwa ntchito ng'ombe. Tangoganizani ngati simukufunikanso danga limenelo. Pali makampani angapo oyambira omwe apereka mapuloteni a tizilombo posachedwa. Amakhala ndi mapuloteni ambiri kuposa nyama. Idzadziwika ngati "gwero lina la mapuloteni" chifukwa anthu ambiri amakanabe lingaliro la kudya tizilombo.
Kusanthula dothi ndi mbewu zidzapangidwa kuchokera ku ma satellites ndi drones ndipo kulamulira tizilombo, zakudya ndi matenda zidzapangidwe mosalekeza kuchokera ku kompyuta.
-
Maphunziro: m'm'badwo winanso, masukulu adzasinthidwa kukhala ma labotale kuti ayesedwe ndikufufuza ndikukulitsa milandu ndi njira, kukhala malangizo a intaneti ndi ma videoconference. Mayeserowa adzachitidwanso patali ndipo adzazindikira ngati munthuyo "akudziwa" kapena akukopera kapena kuloweza.

Munthu aliyense wopanda maphunziro apadera kapena apadera adzakhala kapolo wamalonda, wopanda ufulu wamba wokhala nzika.

Pali pulogalamu yotchedwa "Moodies" yomwe imatha kukuuzani kale momwe mukumvera. Mpaka 2020 padzakhala mapulogalamu omwe angadziwe ngati mukunama ndi nkhope yanu. Tangoganizani mkangano wandale ukuwonetsa pamene akunena zoona kapena kunama.
-
Nkhumbazi zidzakhala zowonongeka chaka chino ndipo zingakhale zosungiramo ndalamazo.
Ndalama zamapepala zidzatha m'mibadwo ya 2 ndipo malonda onse adzakhala magetsi.

- Pakadali pano, nthawi yayitali ya moyo ikuchuluka miyezi itatu pachaka. Zaka zinayi zapitazo, nthawi yamoyo inali zaka 3, tsopano ndi zaka 79. Kuchulukaku pakokha kukukulira ndipo pofika 80 mwina ndi chaka chowonjezeka pachaka. Chifukwa chake titha kukhala ndi moyo nthawi yayitali, mwina kuposa 2036 ...

Chinthu chokha chimene chingaletse chisinthiko chimenechi ndicho kuwonongedwa kwa mtundu wa anthu ndi anthu opusa ochepa amphamvu ndi osaphunzira.”

Mfundo zochokera kwa munthu amene anapanga pamsonkhano wa University of the Singularity ku Messe Berlin, Germany mu April wa 2017

Golgi Alvarez

Wolemba, wofufuza, katswiri wa Land Management Models. Iye watenga nawo gawo pakukonza ndi kukhazikitsa zitsanzo monga: National System of Property Administration SINAP ku Honduras, Model of Management of Joint Municipalities ku Honduras, Integrated Model of Cadastre Management - Registry ku Nicaragua, System of Administration ya Territory SAT ku Colombia. . Mkonzi wa blog ya chidziwitso cha Geofumadas kuyambira 2007 ndi mlengi wa AulaGEO Academy yomwe imaphatikizapo maphunziro oposa 100 pa GIS - CAD - BIM - Digital Twins mitu.

Nkhani

Kusiya ndemanga

Anu email sati lofalitsidwa. Amafuna minda amalembedwa ndi *

Bwererani pamwamba